{"id":3009,"date":"2020-06-10T05:00:33","date_gmt":"2020-06-10T10:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/is-a-recession-here-yes-does-that-mean-a-housing-crash-no\/"},"modified":"2020-06-10T05:00:33","modified_gmt":"2020-06-10T10:00:33","slug":"is-a-recession-here-yes-does-that-mean-a-housing-crash-no","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/is-a-recession-here-yes-does-that-mean-a-housing-crash-no\/","title":{"rendered":"Is a Recession Here? Yes. Does that Mean a Housing Crash? No."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/09161136\/20200610-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg?w=358&#038;ssl=1\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"Is a Recession Here? Yes. Does that Mean a Housing Crash? No. | Simplifying The Market\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>On Monday, the <em>National Bureau of Economic Research<\/em> (NBER) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/cycles\/june2020.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">announced<\/a> that the U.S. economy is officially in a recession. This did not come as a surprise to many, as the <em>Bureau<\/em> defines a recession this way:<span id=\"more-42490\"><\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201cA recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, normally visible in production, employment, and other indicators. A recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of economic activity and ends when the economy reaches its trough. Between trough and peak, the economy is in an expansion.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Everyone realizes that the pandemic shut down the country earlier this year, causing a \u201csignificant decline in economic activity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Though not surprising, headlines announcing the country is in a recession will cause consumers to remember the devastating impact the last recession had on the housing market just over a decade ago.<\/p>\n<p>The real estate market, however, is in a totally different position than it was then. As Mark Fleming, <em>Chief Economist<\/em> at <em>First American<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/why-the-housing-market-may-weather-coronavirus-impact-better-than-the-great-recession\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">explained<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201cMany still bear scars from the Great Recession and may expect the housing market to follow a similar trajectory in response to the coronavirus outbreak. But, there are distinct differences that indicate the housing market may follow a much different path. While housing led the recession in 2008-2009, this time it may be poised to bring us out of it.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Four major differences in today\u2019s real estate market are:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Families have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/05\/06\/why-home-equity-is-a-bright-spark-in-the-housing-market\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">large sums of equity in their homes<\/a><\/li>\n<li>We have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/06\/02\/home-prices-its-all-about-supply-and-demand\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">a shortage of housing inventory<\/a>, not an overabundance<\/li>\n<li>Irresponsible lending <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2019\/11\/14\/this-is-not-2008-all-over-again-the-mortgage-lending-factor\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">no longer exists<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Home price appreciation is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/03\/04\/real-estate-is-soaring-but-not-like-2008\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">not out of control<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>We must also realize that a recession does not mean a housing crash is will follow. \u00a0In three of the four previous recessions prior to 2008, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/03\/20\/a-recession-does-not-equal-a-housing-crisis\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">home values increased<\/a>. In the other one, home prices depreciated by only 1.9%.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Yes, we are now officially in a recession. However, unlike 2008, this time the housing industry is in much better shape to weather the storm.<\/p>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Monday, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) announced that the U.S. economy is officially in a recession. This did not come as a surprise to many, as the Bureau defines a recession this way: \u201cA recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, normally visible in production, employment, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3010,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-3009","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is a Recession Here? 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