{"id":3122,"date":"2020-08-17T05:00:37","date_gmt":"2020-08-17T10:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/the-beginning-of-an-economic-recovery\/"},"modified":"2020-08-17T05:00:37","modified_gmt":"2020-08-17T10:00:37","slug":"the-beginning-of-an-economic-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/the-beginning-of-an-economic-recovery\/","title":{"rendered":"The Beginning of an Economic Recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/14101050\/20200817-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg?w=358&#038;ssl=1\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"The Beginning of an Economic Recovery | Simplifying The Market\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The news these days seems to have a mix of highs and lows. We may hear that an economic recovery is starting, but we\u2019ve also seen some of the worst economic data in the history of our country. The challenge today is to understand exactly what\u2019s going on and what it means relative to the road ahead. We\u2019ve talked before about what experts expect in the second half of this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2020\/05\/21\/experts-predict-economic-recovery-should-begin-in-the-second-half-of-the-year\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">year<\/a>, and today that progress largely hinges upon the continued course of the virus.<span id=\"more-42852\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>A recent <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em> survey of economists <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/wsj-survey-strong-u-s-recovery-depends-on-effective-covid-19-response-11594303200\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">noted<\/a>, \u201c<em>A strong economic recovery depends on effective and sustained containment of Covid-19.<\/em>\u201d Given the uncertainty around the virus, we can also see what economists are forecasting for GDP in the third quarter of this year <em>(see graph below):<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/14101052\/20200817-MEM-Eng-1.jpg?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-42854\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/14101052\/20200817-MEM-Eng-1.jpg?resize=650%2C488&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"The Beginning of an Economic Recovery | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a>Overwhelmingly, economists are projecting GDP growth in the third quarter of 2020, with 5 of the 9 experts indicating over 20% growth.<\/p>\n<p>Lisa Shalett, <em>Chief Investment Officer<\/em> for <em>Morgan Stanley<\/em> puts it this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morganstanley.com\/ideas\/spike-cases-affects-outlook\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">way<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201cIndeed, the \u2018worst ever\u2019 GDP reading could be followed by the \u2018best ever\u2019 growth in the third quarter.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>As we look forward, we can expect consumer spending to improve as well. According to <em>Opportunity Insights<\/em>, as of August 1, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tracktherecovery.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">consumer spending<\/a> was down just 7.8% as compared to January 1 of this year.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>An economic recovery is beginning to happen throughout the country. While there are still questions that need to be answered about the road ahead, we can expect to see improvement this quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The news these days seems to have a mix of highs and lows. We may hear that an economic recovery is starting, but we\u2019ve also seen some of the worst economic data in the history of our country. The challenge today is to understand exactly what\u2019s going on and what it means relative to the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3123,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-3122","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Beginning of an Economic Recovery&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/the-beginning-of-an-economic-recovery\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Beginning of an Economic Recovery&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The news these days seems to have a mix of highs and lows. We may hear that an economic recovery is starting, but we\u2019ve also seen some of the worst economic data in the history of our country. 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