{"id":3513,"date":"2021-04-28T05:00:31","date_gmt":"2021-04-28T10:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/patience-is-the-key-to-buying-a-home-this-year\/"},"modified":"2021-05-18T20:23:58","modified_gmt":"2021-05-19T01:23:58","slug":"patience-is-the-key-to-buying-a-home-this-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/patience-is-the-key-to-buying-a-home-this-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Patience Is the Key to Buying a Home This Year"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/27160508\/20210428-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg?w=358&#038;ssl=1\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"Patience Is the Key to Buying a Home This Year | Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The question many homebuyers are facing this year is<em>, \u201cWhy is it so hard to find a house?\u201d<\/em> We\u2019re in the ultimate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2021\/03\/29\/what-it-means-to-be-in-a-sellers-market\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">sellers\u2019 market<\/a>, which means real estate is ultra-competitive for buyers right now. The <em>National Association of Realtors<\/em> (NAR) notes homes are getting an average of <a href=\"https:\/\/cdn.nar.realtor\/sites\/default\/files\/documents\/2021-03-realtors-confidence-index-04-22-2021.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">4.8 offers<\/a> per sale, and that number keeps rising. Why? It\u2019s because there are so few houses for sale.<span id=\"more-44276\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Low inventory in the housing market isn\u2019t new, but it\u2019s becoming more challenging to navigate. Danielle Hale, <em>Chief Economist at realtor.com<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/weekly-housing-trends-view-data-week-apr-17-2021\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">explains<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201c<strong><em>The housing market is still relatively under supplied<\/em><\/strong><em>, and buyers can\u2019t buy what\u2019s not for sale. Relative to what we saw in 2017 to 2019, <strong>March 2021 was still roughly 117,000 new listings lower, adding to the pre-existing early-year gap of more than 200,000 fresh listings that would typically have come to market in January or February<\/strong>. Despite this week\u2019s gain from a year ago, we\u2019re 19 percent below the new seller activity that we saw in the same week in 2019.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>While many homeowners paused their plans to sell during the height of the pandemic, this isn\u2019t the main cause of today\u2019s huge gap between supply and demand. Sam Khater, <em>Vice President and Chief Economist <\/em>at <em>Freddie Mac, Economic Housing and Research Division,<\/em> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/perspectives\/sam_khater\/20210415_single_family_shortage.page\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">shares<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201c<strong><em>The main driver of the housing shortfall has been the long-term decline in the construction of single-family homes<\/em><\/strong><em> . . . That decline has resulted in the decrease in supply of entry-level single-family homes or, \u2019starter homes<\/em>.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>When you consider the number of homes built in the U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RobertFrickNFCU\/status\/1383045732068888579\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">by decade<\/a>, the serious lack of new construction is clear (<em>See graph below<\/em>):The number of newly built homes is disproportionately lower than the rate of household formation, which, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/data\/tables\/time-series\/demo\/families\/households.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><em>U.S. Census Bureau<\/em><\/a>, has continued to increase. Khater also <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/perspectives\/sam_khater\/20210415_single_family_shortage.page\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">explains<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201c<strong>Even before the COVID-19 pandemic and current recession, the housing market was facing a substantial supply shortage<\/strong> and that deficit has grown. In 2018, we estimated that there was a housing supply shortage of approximately 2.5 million units, meaning that the U.S. economy was about 2.5 million units below what was needed to match long-term demand. Using the same methodology, <strong>we estimate that the housing shortage increased to 3.8 million units by the end of 2020<\/strong>. A continued increase in a housing shortage is extremely unusual; typically in a recession, housing demand declines and supply rises, causing inventory to rise above the long-term trend.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>To catch up to current demand, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/perspectives\/sam_khater\/20210415_single_family_shortage.page\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><em>Freddie Mac<\/em><\/a> estimates we need to build almost four million homes. The good news is builders are working hard to get us there. The <em>U.S. Census Bureau <\/em>also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/construction\/nrc\/pdf\/newresconst.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">states<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201c<em>Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,766,000. This is 2.7 <\/em><em>percent <\/em><em>(\u00b11.7 percent) <\/em><em>above the revised February rate of 1,720,000<\/em> . . . <em>Privately-owned housing starts in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,739,000. This is 19.<\/em><em>4 percent <\/em><em>(\u00b113.7 percent) above the revised February estimate of 1,457,000<\/em>. . . .\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>What does this mean? Lawrence Yun, <em>Chief Economist<\/em> at NAR, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/lawrence-yun-592a76146_good-news-on-a-potential-turn-for-the-better-activity-6788821150567829506-nWur\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">clarifies<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201c<strong><em>The March figure of 1.74 million housing starts is the highest in 14 years<\/em><\/strong><em>. Both single-family units and multifamily units ramped up. After 13 straight years of underproduction \u2013 the chief cause for today\u2019s inventory shortage \u2013 <strong>this construction boom needs to last for at least three years to make up for the part shortfall<\/strong>. As trade-up buyers purchase newly constructed homes, their <strong>prior homes will show up in MLSs, and hence, more choices for consumers<\/strong>. Housing starts to housing completion could be 4 to 8 months,<strong> so be patient with the improvement to inventory<\/strong>. In the meantime, construction workers deserve cheers.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>If you\u2019re planning to buy this year, the key to success will be patience, given today\u2019s low inventory environment. Let\u2019s connect today to talk more about what\u2019s happening in our area.<\/p>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The question many homebuyers are facing this year is, \u201cWhy is it so hard to find a house?\u201d We\u2019re in the ultimate sellers\u2019 market, which means real estate is ultra-competitive for buyers right now. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) notes homes are getting an average of 4.8 offers per sale, and that number keeps [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3514,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-3513","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Patience Is the Key to Buying a Home This Year&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/patience-is-the-key-to-buying-a-home-this-year\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Patience Is the Key to Buying a Home This Year&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The question many homebuyers are facing this year is, \u201cWhy is it so hard to find a house?\u201d We\u2019re in the ultimate sellers\u2019 market, which means real estate is ultra-competitive for buyers right now. 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