{"id":3713,"date":"2021-08-18T05:00:02","date_gmt":"2021-08-18T10:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/real-estate-its-still-a-lack-of-supply-not-a-lack-of-demand\/"},"modified":"2021-08-18T05:00:02","modified_gmt":"2021-08-18T10:00:02","slug":"real-estate-its-still-a-lack-of-supply-not-a-lack-of-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/real-estate-its-still-a-lack-of-supply-not-a-lack-of-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"Real Estate: It\u2019s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/17115231\/20210818-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg?w=358&#038;ssl=1\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"Real Estate: It\u2019s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand | Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>One of the major questions real estate experts are asking today is whether prospective homebuyers still believe purchasing a home makes sense. Some claim rapidly rising home prices are impacting demand and, by extension, leading to the recent slowdown in sales activity.<span id=\"more-44967\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>However, demand isn\u2019t the real issue. Instead, it\u2019s the lack of supply (homes available for sale). An article from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/home-builders-are-restricting-sales-pushing-up-new-home-prices-11628596801\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>Wall Street Journal<\/em><\/a> shows this is true for new home construction:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201c<strong>Home builders have sold more homes than they can build<\/strong>. Now they are limiting their sales in an effort to catch up.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The article quotes David Auld, CEO of <em>D.R. Horton Inc.<\/em> (the largest homebuilder by volume in the United States since 2002), explaining how they don\u2019t have enough homes for the number of buyers coming into their models:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201cThrough our history, to have somebody walk into our models and to tell them, <strong>\u2018We don\u2019t have a house for you to buy today\u2019,<\/strong> is something that is foreign to us.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Danielle Hale, Chief Economist for <em>realtor.com<\/em>, also explains that, in the existing home sale market, the slowdown in sales was a supply challenge, not a lack of demand. Responding to a recent uptick in listings coming to market, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.move.com\/2021-08-10-Realtor-com-R-July-Housing-Report-New-Listings-Rise-6-5-Nationwide-as-More-Smaller-Homes-Hit-the-Market\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">she notes<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201c. . . if these changing inventory dynamics continue, we could see <strong>a wave of real estate activity<\/strong> heading into the latter part of the year.\u201d <\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Again, the buyers are there. We just need houses to sell to them.<\/p>\n<p>If the slowdown in sales was the result of demand waning, we would start to see home prices beginning to moderate \u2013 but this isn\u2019t the case. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist for <em>First American<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/reconomy-podcast-whats-driving-the-shift-in-the-housing-market-today-supply-or-demand\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">explains<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201cThere\u2019s a lot of conversation around rising prices and falling quantity in the housing market, and there\u2019s this concept, or this idea, that it&#8217;s a demand-side problem . . . . But, if demand were falling dramatically, we would actually see less price pressure, less home price growth.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Instead, we\u2019re seeing price appreciation accelerate throughout this year, as evidenced by the year-over-year percentage increases reported by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/intelligence\/u-s-home-price-insights\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>CoreLogic<\/em><\/a>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>January: 10%<\/li>\n<li>February: 10.4%<\/li>\n<li>March: 11.3%<\/li>\n<li>April: 13%<\/li>\n<li>May: 15.4%<\/li>\n<li>June: 17.2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>(July numbers are not yet available)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s a shortage of listings, not buyers, and there are three very good reasons for purchasers to still be interested in buying a home this year.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>1. Affordability isn\u2019t the challenge some are claiming it to be.<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Though home prices have risen dramatically over the last 18 months, mortgage rates remain near historic lows. Because of these near-record rates, monthly mortgage payments are affordable for most buyers.<\/p>\n<p>While homes are less affordable than they were last year, when we adjust for inflation, we can see they\u2019re also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2021\/08\/11\/are-houses-less-affordable-than-they-were-in-past-decades\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">more affordable<\/a> than they were in the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, and much of the 2000s.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>2. Owning is a better long-term decision than renting.<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zillow.com\/research\/housing-affordability-forecast-2021-29944\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recent study<\/a> shows renting a home takes up a higher percentage of a household\u2019s income than owning one. According to the analysis, here\u2019s the percentage of income homebuyers and renters should expect to pay now versus at the end of the year.<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/17115232\/20210818-MEM-Eng-1.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-44969\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/17115232\/20210818-MEM-Eng-1.png?resize=650%2C488&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Real Estate: It\u2019s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a>While the principal and interest of a monthly mortgage payment remain the same over the lifetime of the loan, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2021\/08\/03\/with-rents-on-the-rise-is-now-the-time-to-buy\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">rents increase<\/a> almost every year.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>3. Owners build their wealth. Renters build their landlord\u2019s wealth.<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Whether you\u2019re a homeowner or an investor, real estate builds wealth through growing equity year-over-year. If you own, your household is gaining the benefit of that wealth accumulation. <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/reconomy-podcast-should-you-rent-or-buy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Fleming says<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201c<strong>The major financial advantage of homeownership is the accumulation of equity in the form of house price appreciation<\/strong> . . . . We have to take into account the fact that the shelter that you\u2019re owning is an equity-generating or wealth-generating asset.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at <em>First American<\/em>, elaborates in a <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/why-owning-a-home-was-cheaper-than-renting-in-all-50-top-u.s.-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recent article<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201c. . . once the home is purchased, appreciation helps build equity in the home, and becomes a benefit rather than a cost. When accounting for the appreciation benefit in our rent versus own analysis, <strong>it was cheaper to own in every one of the top 50 markets, including the two most expensive rental markets<\/strong>, San Francisco and San Jose, Calif.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Today, that equity buildup is substantial. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nar.realtor\/newsroom\/94-of-metro-areas-saw-double-digit-price-growth-in-second-quarter-of-2021\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>National Association of Realtors<\/em><\/a> (NAR) reports:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201cThe median sales price of single-family existing homes rose in 99% of measured metro areas in the second quarter of 2021 compared to one year ago, with double-digit price gains in 94% of markets.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In 94% of markets, there was a greater than 10% increase in median price. That means if you bought a $400,000 home in one of those markets, your net worth increased by at least $40,000. If you rented, the landlord was the recipient of the wealth increase.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For many reasons, housing demand is still extremely strong. What we need is more supply (house listings) to meet that demand.<\/p>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of the major questions real estate experts are asking today is whether prospective homebuyers still believe purchasing a home makes sense. Some claim rapidly rising home prices are impacting demand and, by extension, leading to the recent slowdown in sales activity. However, demand isn\u2019t the real issue. Instead, it\u2019s the lack of supply (homes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3714,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-3713","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Real Estate: It\u2019s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/real-estate-its-still-a-lack-of-supply-not-a-lack-of-demand\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Real Estate: It\u2019s Still a Lack of Supply, Not a Lack of Demand&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"One of the major questions real estate experts are asking today is whether prospective homebuyers still believe purchasing a home makes sense. 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