{"id":3838,"date":"2021-11-04T05:00:18","date_gmt":"2021-11-04T10:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/why-a-wave-of-foreclosures-is-not-on-the-way\/"},"modified":"2024-01-18T20:52:07","modified_gmt":"2024-01-19T02:52:07","slug":"why-a-wave-of-foreclosures-is-not-on-the-way","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/why-a-wave-of-foreclosures-is-not-on-the-way\/","title":{"rendered":"Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/01113159\/20211104-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg?w=358&#038;ssl=1\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way | Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>With forbearance plans coming to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures similar to what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are a few reasons why that won\u2019t happen.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"more-45435\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong>There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>After the last housing crash, about <a href=\"https:\/\/economics.cmail20.com\/t\/ViewEmail\/d\/6DD5AA0E9F6529292540EF23F30FEDED\/5323CD85A2087AFD22947492D9797BBC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">9.3 million households<\/a> lost their homes to a foreclosure, short sale, or because they simply gave it back to the bank.<\/p>\n<p>As stay-at-home orders were issued early last year, the fear was the pandemic would impact the housing industry in a similar way. Many projected up to <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/this-time-its-different-why-a-wave-of-foreclosures-is-unlikely\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">30% of all mortgage holders<\/a> would enter the forbearance program. In reality, only 8.5% actually did, and that number is now down to 2.2%.<\/p>\n<p>As of last Friday, the total number of mortgages still in forbearance stood at 1,221,000. That\u2019s far fewer than the 9.3 million households that lost their homes just over a decade ago.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Most of the mortgages in forbearance have enough equity to sell their homes <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Due to rapidly rising home prices over the last two years, of the 1.22 million homeowners currently in forbearance, 93% have at least 10% equity in their homes. This 10% equity is important because it enables homeowners to sell their homes and pay the related expenses instead of facing the hit on their credit that a foreclosure or short sale would create.<\/p>\n<p>The remaining 7% might not have the option to sell, but if the entire 7% of those 1.22 million homes went into foreclosure, that would total about 85,400 mortgages. To give that number context, here are the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/microeconomics\/hhdc.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">annual foreclosure numbers<\/a> for the three years leading up to the pandemic:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2017: 314,220<\/li>\n<li>2018: 279,040<\/li>\n<li>2019: 277,520<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The probable number of foreclosures coming out of the forbearance program is nowhere near the number of foreclosures that impacted the housing crash 15 years ago. It\u2019s actually less than one-third of any of the three years prior to the pandemic.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>The current market can absorb listings coming to the market<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>When foreclosures hit the market back in 2008, there was an oversupply of houses for sale. It\u2019s exactly the opposite today. In 2008, there was over a nine-month supply of listings on the market. Today, that number is less than a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nar.realtor\/research-and-statistics\/housing-statistics\/existing-home-sales\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">three-month supply<\/a>. Here\u2019s a graph showing the difference between the two markets.<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/01113200\/20211104-MEM-Eng-1.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-45437\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/01113200\/20211104-MEM-Eng-1.png?resize=650%2C488&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The data indicates why <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tomferry.com\/our-podcast\/experience-91\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ivy Zelman<\/a>, founder of the major housing market analytical firm <em>Zelman and Associates<\/em>, was on point when she stated:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201cThe likelihood of us having a foreclosure crisis again is <strong>about zero percent<\/strong>.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With forbearance plans coming to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures similar to what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are a few reasons why that won\u2019t happen. There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3839,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-3838","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/why-a-wave-of-foreclosures-is-not-on-the-way\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With forbearance plans coming to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures similar to what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are a few reasons why that won\u2019t happen. There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/why-a-wave-of-foreclosures-is-not-on-the-way\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/NWIHomeLoans\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/NWIHomeLoans\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-11-04T10:00:18+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-01-19T02:52:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/20211104-KCM-Share-549x300-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"549\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"300\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" 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