{"id":4204,"date":"2022-06-14T05:00:55","date_gmt":"2022-06-14T10:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/is-the-housing-market-correcting\/"},"modified":"2022-11-16T14:30:02","modified_gmt":"2022-11-16T20:30:02","slug":"is-the-housing-market-correcting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/is-the-housing-market-correcting\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Housing Market Correcting?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/13124348\/20220614-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg?w=358&#038;ssl=1\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"Is the Housing Market Correcting? | Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re following the news, all of the headlines about conditions in the current <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2022\/05\/31\/what-does-the-rest-of-the-year-hold-for-the-housing-market\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">housing market<\/a> may leave you with more questions than answers. <em>Is the boom over? Is the market crashing or correcting?<\/em> Here\u2019s what you need to know.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"more-46650\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The housing market is moderating compared to the last two years, but what everyone needs to remember is that the past two years were record-breaking in nearly every way. Record-low <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2022\/05\/17\/why-rising-mortgage-rates-push-buyers-off-the-fence\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">mortgage rates<\/a> and millennials reaching peak homebuying years led to an influx of buyer demand. At the same time, there weren\u2019t enough homes available to purchase thanks to many years of underbuilding and sellers who held off on listing their homes due to the health crisis.<\/p>\n<p>This combination led to record-high demand and record-low supply, and that wasn\u2019t going to be sustainable for the long term. The latest data shows early signs of a shift back to the market pace seen in the years leading up to the pandemic \u2013 <strong>not a crash nor a correction<\/strong>. As <em>realtor.com<\/em> says:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><strong><em>\u201c<\/em><\/strong><strong><em>The housing market is at a turning point<\/em><\/strong><em>. . . . We\u2019re starting to see signs of a new direction,<\/em><em> . . .\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h4><strong>Home Showings Then and Now<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/showingindex.stats.showingtime.com\/docs\/lmu\/x\/UnitedStates?src=page\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><em>ShowingTime Showing Index<\/em><\/a> tracks the traffic of home showings according to agents and brokers. It\u2019s a good indication of buyer demand. Here\u2019s a look at that data going back to 2019 (<em>see graph below<\/em>):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/13124350\/20220614-MEM-Eng-1.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-46652\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/13124350\/20220614-MEM-Eng-1.png?resize=650%2C488&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Is the Housing Market Correcting? | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The 2019 numbers give a good baseline of pre-pandemic demand (<em>shown in gray<\/em>). As the graph indicates, home showings skyrocketed during the pandemic (<em>shown in blue<\/em>). And while current buyer demand has begun to moderate slightly based on the latest data (<em>shown in green<\/em>), showings are still above 2019 levels.<\/p>\n<p><strong>And since 2019 was such a strong year for the housing market, this helps show that the market<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2022\/04\/21\/why-this-housing-market-is-not-a-bubble-ready-to-pop\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong>isn\u2019t crashing<\/strong><\/a><strong> \u2013 it\u2019s just at a turning point that\u2019s moving back toward more pre-pandemic levels. <\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Existing Home Sales Then and Now<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Headlines are also talking about how existing home sales are declining, but perspective matters. Here\u2019s a look at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nar.realtor\/research-and-statistics\/housing-statistics\/existing-home-sales\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">existing home sales<\/a> going all the way back to 2019 using data from the <em>National Association of Realtors<\/em> (NAR) (<em>see graph below<\/em>):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/13124351\/20220614-MEM-Eng-2.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-46653\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/13124351\/20220614-MEM-Eng-2.png?resize=650%2C488&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Is the Housing Market Correcting? | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Again, a similar story emerges. The pandemic numbers (<em>shown in blue<\/em>) beat the more typical year of 2019 home sales (<em>shown in gray<\/em>). And according to the latest projections for 2022 (<em>shown in green<\/em>), the market is on pace to close this year with more home sales than 2019 as well.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s important to compare today not to the abnormal pandemic years, but to the most recent normal year to show the current housing market is still strong.\u00a0<em>First American<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.firstam.com\/economics\/the-reconomy-podcast-breaking-down-the-recency-bias-in-housing-market-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sums it up<\/a> like this:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201c. . . today\u2019s housing market looks a lot like the 2019 housing market, <strong>which was the strongest housing market in a decade at the time<\/strong>.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>If recent headlines are generating any concerns, look at a more typical year for perspective. The current market is not a crash or correction. It\u2019s just a turning point toward more typical, pre-pandemic levels. Let\u2019s connect if you have any questions about our local market and what it means for you when you buy or sell this year.<\/p>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you&#8217;re following the news, all of the headlines about conditions in the current housing market may leave you with more questions than answers. Is the boom over? Is the market crashing or correcting? Here\u2019s what you need to know. The housing market is moderating compared to the last two years, but what everyone needs [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4205,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-4204","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is the Housing Market Correcting?&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/is-the-housing-market-correcting\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is the Housing Market Correcting?&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"If you&#8217;re following the news, all of the headlines about conditions in the current housing market may leave you with more questions than answers. 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