{"id":4295,"date":"2022-08-16T05:00:26","date_gmt":"2022-08-16T10:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/what-would-a-recession-mean-for-the-housing-market\/"},"modified":"2022-08-16T05:00:26","modified_gmt":"2022-08-16T10:00:26","slug":"what-would-a-recession-mean-for-the-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/what-would-a-recession-mean-for-the-housing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/15125123\/20220816-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg?w=358&#038;ssl=1\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market? | Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>According to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/economic-forecasting-survey-archive-11617814998\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recent survey<\/a> from the <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em>, the percentage of economists who believe we\u2019ll see a recession in the next 12 months is growing. When surveyed in July 2021, only 12% of economists consulted thought there\u2019d be a recession by now. But this July, when polled, 49% believe we will see a recession in the coming 12 months.<span id=\"more-47004\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>And as more recession talk fills the air, one concern many people have is: <em>should I delay my homeownership plans if there\u2019s a recession? <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Here\u2019s a look at historical data to show what happened in real estate during previous recessions to help prove why you shouldn\u2019t be afraid of what a recession would mean for the housing market today.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong>A Recession Doesn\u2019t Mean Falling Home Prices<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>To show that home prices don\u2019t fall every time there\u2019s a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/housing-recessions-and-recoveries.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recession<\/a>, it helps to turn to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thebalance.com\/the-history-of-recessions-in-the-united-states-3306011\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">historical data<\/a>. As the graph below illustrates, looking at the recessions going all the way back to 1980, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2022\/08\/11\/what-does-the-rest-of-the-year-hold-for-home-prices\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">home prices<\/a> appreciated in four of the last six recessions. So, historically, when the economy slows down, it doesn\u2019t mean home values will fall.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/15125125\/20220816-MEM-Eng-1.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-47006\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/15125125\/20220816-MEM-Eng-1.png?resize=650%2C488&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market? | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Most people remember the housing crisis in 2008 (<em>the larger of the two red bars in the graph above<\/em>) and think another recession would repeat what happened then. But this housing market <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2022\/08\/02\/3-graphs-to-show-this-isnt-a-housing-bubble\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">isn\u2019t about to crash<\/a>. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2022\/07\/14\/housing-experts-say-this-isnt-a-bubble\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">fundamentals<\/a> are very different today than they were in 2008. So, don\u2019t assume we\u2019re heading down the same path.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>A Recession Means Falling Mortgage Rates<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/mtg-specialists.com\/2022\/05\/11\/recession-interest-rates-and-real-estate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Research<\/a> also helps paint the picture of how a recession could impact the cost of financing a home. As the chart below shows, historically, each time the economy slowed down, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\/archive\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">mortgage rates<\/a> decreased.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/15125126\/20220816-MEM-Eng-2.png?ssl=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-47007\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/15125126\/20220816-MEM-Eng-2.png?resize=650%2C488&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market? | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Fortune<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2019\/06\/19\/next-recession-assets-mortgage-rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">explains<\/a> that mortgage rates typically fall during an economic slowdown:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>\u201c<strong>Over the past five recessions, mortgage rates have fallen an average of 1.8 percentage points from the peak seen during the recession to the trough. <\/strong>And in many cases, they continued to fall after the fact as it takes some time to turn things around even when the recession is technically over.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And while history doesn\u2019t always repeat itself, we can learn from and find comfort in the historical data.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>There\u2019s no doubt everyone remembers what happened in the housing market in 2008. But you don\u2019t need to fear the word <em>recession<\/em> if you\u2019re planning to buy or sell a home. According to historical data, in most recessions, home price gains have stayed strong, and mortgage rates have declined.<\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re thinking about buying or selling a home, let\u2019s connect so you have expert advice on what\u2019s happening in the housing market and what that means for your homeownership goals.<\/p>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to a recent survey from the Wall Street Journal, the percentage of economists who believe we\u2019ll see a recession in the next 12 months is growing. When surveyed in July 2021, only 12% of economists consulted thought there\u2019d be a recession by now. But this July, when polled, 49% believe we will see a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4296,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-4295","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market?&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/what-would-a-recession-mean-for-the-housing-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market?&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"According to a recent survey from the Wall Street Journal, the percentage of economists who believe we\u2019ll see a recession in the next 12 months is growing. 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