{"id":5879,"date":"2024-06-17T05:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-06-17T10:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/do-elections-impact-the-housing-market\/"},"modified":"2024-06-17T05:30:00","modified_gmt":"2024-06-17T10:30:00","slug":"do-elections-impact-the-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/do-elections-impact-the-housing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Do Elections Impact the Housing Market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.keepingcurrentmatters.com\/KeepingCurrentMatters\/content\/images\/20240613\/20240617-Do-Elections-Impact-the-Housing-Market-original.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"Do Elections Impact the Housing Market? Simplifying The Market\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear: both;max-width: 100%\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The 2024 Presidential election is just months away. As someone who\u2019s thinking about potentially <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/06\/03\/more-than-a-house-the-emotional-benefits-of-homeownership\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">buying<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/05\/24\/your-agent-is-the-key-to-pricing-your-house-right-infographic\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">selling<\/a> a home, you\u2019re probably curious about what effect, if any, elections have on the housing market.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a great question because <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/05\/31\/top-reasons-to-own-a-home-infographic\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">buying<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/05\/23\/questions-you-may-have-about-selling-your-house\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">selling<\/a> a home is a major decision, and it\u2019s natural to wonder how such a major event might impact your plans.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, Presidential elections have only had a small, temporary impact on the housing market. Here\u2019s the latest on exactly what\u2019s happened to home sales, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/06\/12\/home-prices-arent-declining-but-headlines-might-make-you-think-they-are\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">prices<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/05\/20\/whats-next-for-home-prices-and-mortgage-rates\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">mortgage rates<\/a> throughout those time periods.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Home Sales<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>During the month of November, in years when the Presidential election takes place, there\u2019s typically a slight slowdown in home sales. As Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at <em>Zonda<\/em>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/news\/trends\/from-surging-layoffs-to-a-presidential-election-what-will-2024-bring-for-the-housing-market\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">explains<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201cUsually, home sales are unchanged compared to a non-election year with the exception being November. <\/em><strong><em>In an election year, November is slower than normal.<\/em><\/strong><em>\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>This is mostly because some people feel uncertain and hesitant about making big decisions during such a pivotal time. <strong>However, it\u2019s important to know this slowdown is temporary.<\/strong> <strong>Historically, home sales bounce back in December and continue to rise the following year. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In fact, data from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.huduser.gov\/periodicals\/ushmc\/fall08\/hist_data.pdf\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><em>Department of Housing and Urban Development<\/em><\/a> (HUD) and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nar.realtor\/research-and-statistics\/housing-statistics\/existing-home-sales\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><em>National Association of Realtors<\/em><\/a> (NAR) shows after nine of the last 11 Presidential elections, home sales went up the next year (<em>see graph below<\/em>):&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.keepingcurrentmatters.com\/KeepingCurrentMatters\/content\/images\/20240613\/20240617-Home-Sales-Went-Up-After-9-of-the-Last-11-Presidential-Election-original.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.keepingcurrentmatters.com\/KeepingCurrentMatters\/content\/images\/20240613\/20240617-Home-Sales-Went-Up-After-9-of-the-Last-11-Presidential-Election-original.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"No Caption Received\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>The graph shows annual home sales going back to 1978. Each year with a Presidential election is noted in blue. The year immediately after each election is green if existing home sales rose that year. The two orange bars represent the only years when home sales decreased after an election.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Home Prices<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>What about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/05\/13\/home-prices-are-climbing-in-these-top-cities\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">home prices<\/a>? Do they drop during election years? Not typically. As residential appraiser and housing analyst Ryan Lundquist puts it:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201cAn election year doesn\u2019t alter the price trend that is already happening in the market.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Home prices are pretty resilient. They <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/03\/13\/your-home-is-a-powerful-investment\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">generally rise<\/a> year-over-year, regardless of elections. The latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nar.realtor\/research-and-statistics\/housing-statistics\/existing-home-sales\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">data<\/a> from NAR shows after seven of the last eight Presidential elections, home prices increased the following year (<em>see graph below<\/em>):&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.keepingcurrentmatters.com\/KeepingCurrentMatters\/content\/images\/20240613\/20240617-Home-Prices-Went-Up-After-7-of-the-Last-8-Presidential-Elections-original.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.keepingcurrentmatters.com\/KeepingCurrentMatters\/content\/images\/20240613\/20240617-Home-Prices-Went-Up-After-7-of-the-Last-8-Presidential-Elections-original.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"No Caption Received\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Just like the previous graph, this shows election years in blue. The only year when prices declined after an election is in orange. That was during the housing market crash, which was far from a typical year. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/04\/24\/foreclosure-numbers-are-nothing-like-the-2008-crash\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Today\u2019s market<\/a> is different than it was back then.<\/p>\n<p>All the green bars represent when prices rose the following year. So, if you&#8217;re worried about your home losing value because of an election, you can rest easy knowing prices rise after most Presidential elections.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Mortgage Rates<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/04\/23\/the-best-way-to-keep-track-of-mortgage-rate-trends\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Mortgage rates<\/a> are important because they affect how much your monthly payment will be when you buy a home. Looking at the last 11 Presidential election years, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\/archive\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">data<\/a> from <em>Freddie Mac<\/em> shows mortgage rates decreased from July to November in eight of them (<em>see chart below<\/em>):&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.keepingcurrentmatters.com\/KeepingCurrentMatters\/content\/images\/20240613\/20240617-Mortgage-Rates-Decreased-Leading-Up-to-8-of-the-Last-11-Presidential-Elections-original.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/files.keepingcurrentmatters.com\/KeepingCurrentMatters\/content\/images\/20240613\/20240617-Mortgage-Rates-Decreased-Leading-Up-to-8-of-the-Last-11-Presidential-Elections-original.png?ssl=1\" alt=\"No Caption Received\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Most forecasts expect <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/04\/16\/should-i-wait-for-mortgage-rates-to-come-down-before-i-move\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">mortgage rates<\/a> to ease slightly throughout the remainder of the year. If they\u2019re right, this year will follow the trend of declining rates leading up to most previous elections. And if you\u2019re looking to buy a home in the coming months, this could be good news, as lower rates could mean a lower monthly payment.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>What This Means for You<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>So, what\u2019s the big takeaway? <strong>While Presidential elections do have some impact on the housing market, the effects are usually small and temporary. <\/strong>As Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist at <em>Bright MLS<\/em>, says:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201cHistorically, the housing market doesn\u2019t tend to look very different in presidential election years compared to other years.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>For most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/05\/30\/the-biggest-mistakes-buyers-are-making-today\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">buyers<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.simplifyingthemarket.com\/2024\/05\/29\/how-an-agent-helps-market-your-house\/?a=375140-ca8522ad04357da9549c08492a932f70\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">sellers<\/a>, elections don\u2019t have a major impact on their plans.<\/p>\n<h3>Bottom Line<\/h3>\n<p>While it\u2019s natural to feel a bit uncertain during an election year, history shows the housing market remains strong and resilient. If you have questions, reach out to a local real estate agent. They\u2019re here to help you navigate the market, election year or not.<\/p>\n<p>Source: New feed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2024 Presidential election is just months away. As someone who\u2019s thinking about potentially buying or selling a home, you\u2019re probably curious about what effect, if any, elections have on the housing market. It\u2019s a great question because buying or selling a home is a major decision, and it\u2019s natural to wonder how such a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5880,"comment_status":"false","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_10157519356927224_105287467588662":"","twitter_15771620_15771620":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[54],"class_list":{"0":"post-5879","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-local-info","8":"tag-100-financing","9":"entry"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Do Elections Impact the Housing Market?&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nwiloanguy.com\/blog\/do-elections-impact-the-housing-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Do Elections Impact the Housing Market?&#8212;NWI Loan Guy Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The 2024 Presidential election is just months away. 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